Future of Banking – 2034

While 2034 sounds more like the setting for a Skynet take-over, It’s also just a short 10 years down the road and we all know how quickly things can change in a decade.

Looking in the finance sector, Banking in particular, I see a number of emerging changes that are set to reshape the environment – so let’s revisit in 10 years and see how close/far off I was.

  • Personalized Banking: Banks are increasingly using AI to analyse customer data, offering personalised financial advice and product recommendations and this will extend past products and into lifestyle. For instance, apps like Cleo and Plum use AI to help users manage their finances more effectively.
  • Banking as a Platform (BaaP): This model allows financial institutions to integrate services with third-party providers. A notable example is Starling Bank, which offers a marketplace allowing customers to access a variety of financial services through its app.
  • Blockchain for Secure Transactions: Blockchain technology is being explored for its potential to make transactions more secure and transparent. Ripple, a blockchain solution, is already being used by banks for cross-border payments.
  • Rise of Decentralized Finance (DeFi): DeFi represents a shift towards open, permissionless, and fully decentralized financial markets, which could redefine access to financial services and significantly reduce the number of intermediary businesses currently profiting on the legacy, inefficient systems of today.
  • Increased Focus on Cybersecurity: As digital banking expands, cybersecurity threats will become more sophisticated, requiring advanced solutions to protect customer data and financial assets. Banking has traditionally been at the forefront of security and could even extend their services in a digital asset world to protect more than just money, NFT Vault anyone?
  • Impact of Quantum Computing: Quantum computing has the potential to disrupt current encryption methods, challenging the security of financial transactions and data storage and so superior encryption technology is needed. Banking (and Defence) are well positioned to develop the leading edge Quantum Encryption standards and even productise this.

And entirely out of left field, this is my view of the most drastic change we might see:

Banks as Product Manufacturers.
As OpenData, AI and FinTech converge on the industry, I see the ability of banks to compete (fairly) in 10 years greatly diminished, and see profit focus forcing them to return to their roots in creating hyper-secure savings and lending products that are then distributed by other merchants (Apple, Amazon, FinTechs)

Okay, see you in 10 years.

Clinton

Rethinking Compulsory Superannuation: A Closer Look at Australia’s Retirement Savings System

In Australia, the mandatory Superannuation system has been a cornerstone of retirement savings for decades. Introduced to ensure Australians have sufficient savings for their post-work years, this system requires employers to contribute a portion of an employee’s earnings into a superannuation fund.

However, there’s been an ongoing debate about the efficacy and fairness of this compulsory approach.

Is it time to rethink the mandatory nature of Superannuation?

The Case Against Mandatory Superannuation

1. Government Control Over Personal Savings:

  • A primary critique of the mandatory Superannuation system is the significant degree of government control it imposes. The system not only mandates that a portion of an individual’s salary must be saved for retirement, but also restricts when and how they can access these funds.
  • This raises critical questions about financial autonomy and personal freedom. Critics argue that individuals should have more control over their own money, without government-imposed restrictions on access and use.
  • The concern here extends to the broader implications of such control, potentially setting a precedent for governmental overreach into other personal financial matters.

2. Reduced Take-Home Pay:

  • Mandatory contributions to Superannuation effectively reduce an employee’s immediate take-home pay. This is especially challenging for lower-income earners who need immediate access to their earnings for daily expenses.
  • The debate centers around choice and financial control, questioning whether individuals should have more say in how and when they save for retirement.

3. Impact on Small Businesses:

  • The obligation for employers to contribute to Superannuation can be burdensome for small businesses. With the increase in the Superannuation Guarantee rate, small enterprises may face financial strain, impacting their growth and employment opportunities.
  • This aspect of the system may inadvertently hinder entrepreneurship and economic diversity within the Australian economy.

4. Investment Risk and Market Volatility:

  • Superannuation funds, being subject to market fluctuations, pose a risk to retirement savings, especially during economic downturns.
  • The mandatory nature of Superannuation means individuals have limited control over these investment risks, which directly affect their financial security in retirement.

5. Delayed Benefit and Inflexibility:

  • The Superannuation system locks away funds until retirement age, preventing younger individuals from accessing these savings for immediate needs like home ownership or education.
  • Critics advocate for a more flexible system, allowing for earlier use of funds in ways that can also contribute to long-term financial stability.

6. Inequity Issues:

  • The Superannuation system does not benefit all Australians equally. Women, particularly those with career gaps due to caregiving, and low-income earners, often end up with significantly less in their superannuation funds.
  • The rigid structure of the system fails to accommodate the diverse financial situations and needs of different groups, leading to disparities in retirement readiness and security.

The mandatory Superannuation system, while designed with the laudable goal of ensuring retirement savings, raises significant concerns about personal autonomy, financial control, and equity. The debate over its compulsory nature touches on the balance between government intervention for long-term financial security and the individual’s right to manage their own finances. As Australia continues to evaluate the effectiveness and fairness of this system, a shift towards greater flexibility and personal choice could better serve the diverse needs and circumstances of its citizens, fostering a more equitable and resilient economic future.

Most talked about trends in personal finance 2023

In 2023, the most talked there was plenty of conversation on the role of personal finance in our lives, and how the state of innovation in the space has created a healthier outlook.

  1. Economic Conditions and Recession: Predictions of a mild and short-lived recession were made, with a focus on preparing personal finances for upcoming economic changes​​.
  2. Social Media’s Role in Investment Decisions: Platforms like Reddit became increasingly influential in guiding investment decisions among retail investors, especially in small-cap growth stocks​​. nerdwallet
  3. Artificial Intelligence in Personal Finance: AI-powered tools and platforms began playing a more significant role in personal finance, offering enhanced data analysis, fraud prevention, and personalized financial advice​ RamseySolutions
  4. Integration of Familiar Tools in Finance: The use of familiar interfaces like Google Sheets for personal finance management gained more popularity. Tools like Tiller, which integrate bank accounts with Google Sheets, exemplified this trend Glimpse.
  5. Cryptocurrency Trends: The resurgence and growth of cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, marked a significant trend in the investment landscape HackerMoon
  6. Employee Financial Wellness Programs: More companies started to recognize the importance of their employees’ financial well-being, leading to the introduction of various financial wellness programs HBR